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dc.contributor.authorWelsh, M.-
dc.contributor.authorSteacy, S.-
dc.contributor.authorBegg, S.-
dc.contributor.authorNavarro, D.-
dc.contributor.editorPapafragou, A.-
dc.contributor.editorGrodner, D.-
dc.contributor.editorMirman, D.-
dc.contributor.editorTrueswell, J.-
dc.identifier.citationProceedings of the 38th Annual Cognitive Science Society Meeting, 2016 / Papafragou, A., Grodner, D., Mirman, D., Trueswell, J. (ed./s), pp.544-549-
dc.descriptionTheme for 2016: Recognizing and representing events-
dc.description.abstractRisk communication, where scientists inform policy-makers or the populace of the probability and magnitude of possible disasters, is essential to disaster management – enabling people to make better decisions regarding preventative steps, evacuations, etc. Psychological research, however, has identified multiple biases that can affect people’s interpretation of probabilities and thus risk. For example, availability (Tversky & Kahneman, 1973) is known to confound probability estimates while the descriptionexperience gap (D-E Gap) (Hertwig & Erev, 2009) shows low probability events being over-weighted when described and under-weighted when learnt from laboratory tasks. This paper examines how probability descriptions interact with real world experience of events. Responses from 294 participants across 8 conditions showed that people’s responses, given the same described probabilities and consequences, were altered by their familiarity with the disaster (bushfire vs earthquake) and its salience to them personally. The implications of this for risk communication are discussed.-
dc.description.statementofresponsibilityMatthew B. Welsh, Sandy Steacy, Steve H. Begg, Daniel J. Navarro-
dc.rights© the authors-
dc.subjectDescription-experience gap; risk communication; decision making; availability; bias.-
dc.titleA tale of two disasters: biases in risk communication-
dc.typeConference paper-
dc.contributor.conferenceThe 38th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society (COGSCI) (10 Aug 2016 - 13 Aug 2016 : Philadelphia, USA)-
dc.identifier.orcidWelsh, M. [0000-0002-3605-716X]-
dc.identifier.orcidSteacy, S. [0000-0001-8606-3296]-
dc.identifier.orcidBegg, S. [0000-0003-3329-9064]-
Appears in Collections:Aurora harvest 7
Australian School of Petroleum publications

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