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Type: Journal article
Title: A Comparative Analysis of Accounting-Based Valuation Models
Author: Ho, K.
Lee, S.
Lin, C.
Yu, M.
Citation: JAAF: Journal of Accounting Auditing and Finance, 2017; 32(4):561-575
Publisher: SAGE Publishing
Issue Date: 2017
ISSN: 0148-558X
Statement of
Kung-Cheng Ho, Shih-Cheng Lee, Chien-Ting Lin and Min-Teh Yu
Abstract: We empirically compare the reliability of the dividend (DIV) model, the residual income valuation (CT, GLS) model, and the abnormal earnings growth (OJ) model. We find that valuation estimates from the OJ model are generally more reliable than those from the other three models, because the residual income valuation model anchored by book value gets off to a poor start when compared with the OJ model led by capitalized next-year earnings. We adopt a 34-year sample covering from 1985 to 2013 to compare the reliability of valuation estimates via their means of absolute pricing errors (MAPE) and corresponding t statistics. We further use the switching regression of Barrios and Blanco to show that the average probability of OJ valuation estimates is greater in explaining stock prices than the DIV, CT, and GLS models. In addition, our finding that the OJ model yields more reliable estimates is robust to analysts-based and model-based earnings measures.
Keywords: Accounting-based valuation models; residual income valuation; abnormal earnings growth; dividend model; switching regression model
Rights: © The Author(s) 2016
DOI: 10.1177/0148558X15623043
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