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Type: Journal article
Title: Agricultural vulnerability over the Chinese Loess Plateau in response to climate change: exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity
Author: Li, X.
Philp, J.
Cremades, R.
Roberts, A.
He, L.
Li, L.
Yu, Q.
Citation: Ambio, 2016; 45(3):350-360
Publisher: Springer
Issue Date: 2016
ISSN: 0044-7447
Statement of
Xueling Li, Joshua Philp, Roger Cremades, Anna Roberts, Liang He, Longhui Li, Qiang Yu
Abstract: Understanding how the vulnerability of agricultural production to climate change can differ spatially has practical significance to sustainable management of agricultural systems worldwide. Accordingly, this study developed a conceptual framework to assess the agricultural vulnerability of 243 rural counties on the Chinese Loess Plateau. Indicators representing the climate/agriculture interface were selected to describe exposure and sensitivity, while stocks of certain capitals were used to describe adaptive capacity. A vulnerability index for each county was calculated and the spatial distribution was mapped. Results showed that exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity occur independently, with most contributing indicator values concentrated in a narrow range after normalization. Within the 49 most vulnerable counties, which together encompass 81 % of the vulnerability index range, 42 were characterized by high exposure and sensitivity but low adaptive capacity. The most vulnerable area was found to be located in the central northeast–southwest belt of Loess Plateau. Adaptation measures for both ecological restoration and economic development are needed and potential adaptation options need further investigation.
Keywords: Climate change; yield variability; vulnerability analysis; adaptation; loess plateau; county level
Rights: © Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2015
DOI: 10.1007/s13280-015-0727-8
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Appears in Collections:Agriculture, Food and Wine publications
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