Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2440/111955
Citations
Scopus Web of Science® Altmetric
?
?
Type: Journal article
Title: National, regional, and global trends in adult overweight and obesity prevalences
Author: Stevens, G.
Singh, G.
Lu, Y.
Danaei, G.
Lin, J.
Finucane, M.
Bahalim, A.
McIntire, R.
Gutierrez, H.
Cowan, M.
Paciorek, C.
Farzadfar, F.
Riley, L.
Ezzati, M.
Citation: Population Health Metrics, 2012; 10(1):22-1-22-16
Publisher: Springer Nature
Issue Date: 2012
ISSN: 1478-7954
1478-7954
Statement of
Responsibility: 
Gretchen A Stevens, Gitanjali M Singh, Yuan Lu, Goodarz Danaei, John K Lin, Mariel M Finucane, Adil N Bahalim, Russell K McIntire, Hialy R Gutierrez, Melanie Cowan, Christopher J Paciorek, Farshad Farzadfar, Leanne Riley, Majid Ezzati, for the Global Burden of Metabolic Risk Factors of Chronic Diseases Collaborating Group, Body Mass Index
Abstract: Background: Overweight and obesity prevalence are commonly used for public and policy communication of the extent of the obesity epidemic, yet comparable estimates of trends in overweight and obesity prevalence by country are not available. Methods: We estimated trends between 1980 and 2008 in overweight and obesity prevalence and their uncertainty for adults 20 years of age and older in 199 countries and territories. Data were from a previous study, which used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate mean body mass index (BMI) based on published and unpublished health examination surveys and epidemiologic studies. Here, we used the estimated mean BMIs in a regression model to predict overweight and obesity prevalence by age, country, year, and sex. The uncertainty of the estimates included both those of the Bayesian hierarchical model and the uncertainty due to cross-walking from mean BMI to overweight and obesity prevalence. Results: The global age-standardized prevalence of obesity nearly doubled from 6.4% (95% uncertainty interval 5.7-7.2%) in 1980 to 12.0% (11.5-12.5%) in 2008. Half of this rise occurred in the 20 years between 1980 and 2000, and half occurred in the 8 years between 2000 and 2008. The age-standardized prevalence of overweight increased from 24.6% (22.7-26.7%) to 34.4% (33.2-35.5%) during the same 28-year period. In 2008, female obesity prevalence ranged from 1.4% (0.7-2.2%) in Bangladesh and 1.5% (0.9-2.4%) in Madagascar to 70.4% (61.9-78.9%) in Tonga and 74.8% (66.7-82.1%) in Nauru. Male obesity was below 1% in Bangladesh, Democratic Republic of the Congo, and Ethiopia, and was highest in Cook Islands (60.1%, 52.6-67.6%) and Nauru (67.9%, 60.5-75.0%). Conclusions: Globally, the prevalence of overweight and obesity has increased since 1980, and the increase has accelerated. Although obesity increased in most countries, levels and trends varied substantially. These data on trends in overweight and obesity may be used to set targets for obesity prevalence as requested at the United Nations high-level meeting on Prevention and Control of NCDs.
Keywords: Overweight; obesity; prevalence; population health; risk transition; global health; noncommunicable diseases
Rights: © 2012 Stevens et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
RMID: 0030051158
DOI: 10.1186/1478-7954-10-22
Appears in Collections:Public Health publications

Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat 
hdl_111955.pdfPublished version20.03 MBAdobe PDFView/Open


Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.