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|Scopus||Web of Science®||Altmetric|
|Title:||Future climate risk from compound events|
van den Hurk, B.
|Citation:||Nature Climate Change, 2018; 8(6):469-477|
|Publisher:||Nature Publishing Group|
|Jakob Zscheischler, Seth Westra, Bart J. J. M. van den Hurk, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Philip J. Ward, Andy Pitman, Amir AghaKouchak, David N. Bresch, Michael Leonard, Thomas Wahl and Xuebin Zhang|
|Abstract:||Floods, wildfires, heatwaves and droughts often result from a combination of interacting physical processes across multiple spatial and temporal scales. The combination of processes (climate drivers and hazards) leading to a significant impact is referred to as a ‘compound event’. Traditional risk assessment methods typically only consider one driver and/or hazard at a time, potentially leading to underestimation of risk, as the processes that cause extreme events often interact and are spatially and/or temporally dependent. Here we show how a better understanding of compound events may improve projections of potential high-impact events, and can provide a bridge between climate scientists, engineers, social scientists, impact modellers and decision-makers, who need to work closely together to understand these complex events.|
|Rights:||© 2018 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature. All rights reserved.|
|Appears in Collections:||Aurora harvest 8|
Civil and Environmental Engineering publications
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