Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/2440/118715
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Type: Journal article
Title: Assessment of spatiotemporal varying relationships between rainfall, land cover and surface water area using geographically weighted regression
Author: Brown, S.
Versace, V.
Laurenson, L.
Ierodiaconou, D.
Fawcett, J.
Salzman, S.
Citation: Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 2012; 17(3):241-254
Publisher: Springer
Issue Date: 2012
ISSN: 1420-2026
1573-2967
Statement of
Responsibility: 
Stuart Brown, Vincent L. Versace, Laurie Laurenson, Daniel Ierodiaconou, Jonathon Fawcett, Scott Salzman
Abstract: Traditional regression techniques such as ordinary least squares (OLS) are often unable to accurately model spatially varying data and may ignore or hide local variations in model coefficients. A relatively new technique, geographically weighted regression (GWR) has been shown to greatly improve model performance compared to OLS in terms of higher R 2 and lower corrected Akaike information criterion (AICC). GWR models have the potential to improve reliabilities of the identified relationships by reducing spatial autocorrelations and by accounting for local variations and spatial non-stationarity between dependent and independent variables. In this study, GWR was used to examine the relationship between land cover, rainfall and surface water habitat in 149 sub-catchments in a predominately agricultural region covering 2.6 million ha in southeast Australia. The application of the GWR models revealed that the relationships between land cover, rainfall and surface water habitat display significant spatial non-stationarity. GWR showed improvements over analogous OLS models in terms of higher R 2 and lower AICC. The increased explanatory power of GWR was confirmed by the results of an approximate likelihood ratio test, which showed statistically significant improvements over analogous OLS models. The models suggest that the amount of surface water area in the landscape is related to anthropogenic drainage practices enhancing runoff to facilitate intensive agriculture and increased plantation forestry. However, with some key variables not present in our analysis, the strength of this relationship could not be qualified. GWR techniques have the potential to serve as a useful tool for environmental research and management across a broad range of scales for the investigation of spatially varying relationships.
Keywords: Geographically weighted regression; land use; climate change; rainfall; water resources
Rights: © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011
DOI: 10.1007/s10666-011-9289-8
Appears in Collections:Aurora harvest 4
Environment Institute publications

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