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Type: Journal article
Title: Climate change and food security to 2030: a global economy-wide perspective
Author: Valenzuela, E.
Anderson, K.
Citation: Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, 2011; 11(1):29-58
Publisher: Mundi Prensa Libros, S.A.
Issue Date: 2011
ISSN: 1578-0732
Statement of
Ernesto Valenzuela and Kym Anderson
Abstract: The effects of climate change on agriculture raise major food security concerns. We use aglobal economy-wide model to assess the effects on farm product prices of expected yield changes. Alsomodelled is an expected adverse effect of higher temperatures and humidity in the tropics on the productivityof unskilled workers in developing countries. Given the degrees of uncertainty about plausibleeffects of climate change, our modelling accounts for a range of yield productivity and labor shocks. Theresults entail consequences for international agricultural prices, national food consumption, self sufficiency,net farm income and economic welfare.
Keywords: Climate change; crop and labor productivity growth; global economy-wide model projections
Rights: Copyright status unknown
RMID: 0020118392
DOI: 10.7201/earn.2011.01.02
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Appears in Collections:Economics publications

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