Understanding what attracts new residents to smaller cities
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2022
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Vij, A.
Ardeshiri, A.
Li, T.
Beer, A.
Crommelin, L.
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This study is part of a broader AHURI Inquiry on growing Australia’s smaller cities to better manage population growth where it examines key drivers of migration flows and settlement patterns across Australia, and identifies key barriers to and opportunities for greater population decentralisation. In particular, this study addresses the following research questions:1. What are the current mobility and settlement patterns of migrants, including those arriving from other parts of Australia and from other nations, across these smaller cities?2. What are the key drivers of mobility in Australia (to/from both metropolitan and regional areas)?3. Which factors support or motivate moves to smaller cities in regional Australia?4. What is the role of employment opportunities, infrastructure facilities and other factors in encouraging settlement outside the metropolitan centres?This study comprises three stages that employ different quantitative methods for data measurement, visualisation and analysis, in an attempt to address the research questions identified previously. Stage 1 uses data visualisation techniques to develop a high-level visual understanding of how migration flows have varied historically across different sub-populations. Stages 2 and 3 use formal techniques for multivariate analysis to identify the primary determinants of the resulting settlement patterns across different sub-populations. In particular, Stage 2 undertakes a macroeconomic analysis of migration patterns. We use migration flow data collected by the Census to examine how migration rates have varied across cities and over time as a function of their local economy, infrastructure and natural environment. Stage 3 develops a microeconomic model of individual preferences for settlement in different urban and regional centres. Together, findings from this research project offer a comprehensive perspective on the key determinants of migration flows and settlement patterns within Australia.
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Copyright 2022 Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute Limited. This work is licensed under a Creative CommonsAttribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License. (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/)