Risk of Readmission After Acute Myocardial Infarction: Insights From the CADOSA Registry
Date
2025
Authors
Labrosciano, C.
Spertus, J.A.
Wu, J.
Zeitz, C.J.
Tavella, R.
Worthley, M.I.
Arstall, M.
Sinhal, A.
Beltrame, J.F.
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Advisors
Journal Title
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Journal article
Citation
Heart Lung and Circulation, 2025; 34(12):1-10
Statement of Responsibility
Clementine Labrosciano, John A. Spertus, Jing Wu, Christopher J. Zeitz, Rosanna Tavella, Matthew I. Worthley, Margaret Arstall, Ajay Sinhal, John F. Beltrame
Conference Name
Abstract
Background Early identification of the one in five patients readmitted within 30 days of an acute myocardial infarction (AMI) hospitalisation provides an opportunity for targeted proactive intervention thereby reducing the risk of readmission. To target such an intervention to those most likely to benefit, this study sought to develop and validate a model predicting 30-day, all-cause, unplanned readmission after hospitalisation for AMI. Methods The index AMI encounter for patients undergoing acute coronary angiography between 2012 and 2022 enrolled into the CADOSA (Coronary Angiogram Database of South Australia) Registry and discharged home across four tertiary hospitals were included. A random split sample of 70% and 30% was used for the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Logistic regression with combination elimination was performed to develop the parsimonious clinical model within the derivation cohort and model discrimination was assessed in the validation cohort. Results Among 13,289 unique patients (mean age 64±13 years, 71% male, 41% ST-elevation AMIs), 14.2% were readmitted within 30 days. Readmitted patients were older (67±14 vs 63±13; p<0.001) and less likely to present with a ST-elevation AMI (38% vs 42%; p=0.003). Predictors showing a higher likelihood of readmission were patients with abnormal estimated glomerular filtration rate, cardiogenic shock and increased heart rate upon arrival, new diagnosis of heart failure, being older and female, and a history of depression. The model had consistent moderate discrimination (C statistic=0.63 in the derivation and validation cohorts). Conclusions An Australian model for 30-day all-cause unplanned readmission has a similar performance to United States models. Further emphasis should be placed on providing additional support to high-risk patients upon arrival to the hospital to assist in reducing readmissions.
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OnlinePubl.
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© 2025 Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Australian and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons (ANZSCTS) and the Cardiac Society of Australia and New Zealand (CSANZ). This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).