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https://hdl.handle.net/2440/104498
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Type: | Journal article |
Title: | Game story space of professional sports: Australian rules football |
Author: | Kiley, D. Reagan, A. Mitchell, L. Danforth, C. Dodds, P. |
Citation: | Physical Review E: Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics, 2016; 93(5):052314-1-052314-14 |
Publisher: | American Physical Society |
Issue Date: | 2016 |
ISSN: | 1539-3755 1550-2376 |
Statement of Responsibility: | Dilan Patrick Kiley, Andrew J. Reagan, Lewis Mitchell, Christopher M. Danforth and Peter Sheridan Dodds |
Abstract: | Sports are spontaneous generators of stories. Through skill and chance, the script of each game is dynamically written in real time by players acting out possible trajectories allowed by a sport’s rules.By properly characterizing a given sport’s ecology of “game stories,” we are able to capture the sport’s capacity for unfolding interesting narratives, in part by contrasting them with random walks. Here we explore the game story space afforded by a data set of 1310 Australian Football League (AFL) score lines. We find that AFL games exhibit a continuous spectrum of stories rather than distinct clusters.We show how coarse graining reveals identifiable motifs ranging from last-minute comeback wins to one-sided blowouts. Through an extensive comparison with biased random walks, we showthat real AFL games deliver a broader array of motifs than null models, and we provide consequent insights into the narrative appeal of real games. |
Keywords: | Humans Models, Theoretical Soccer Australia |
Rights: | ©2016 American Physical Society |
DOI: | 10.1103/PhysRevE.93.052314 |
Published version: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1103/physreve.93.052314 |
Appears in Collections: | Aurora harvest 8 Mathematical Sciences publications |
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