Machine learning based forecasting systems for worldwide international tourists arrival
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(Published version)
Date
2021
Authors
Mishra, R.K.
Urolagin, S.
Jothi, J.A.A.
Nawaz, N.
Ramkissoon, H.
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International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications, 2021; 12(11):55-64
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Abstract
The international tourist movement has overgrown in recent decades, and travelers are considered a significant source of income to the tourism economy. When tourists visit a place, they spend considerable money on their enjoyment, travel, and hotel accommodations. In this research, tourist data from 2010 to 2020 have been extracted and extended with depth analysis of different dimensions to identify valuable features. This research attempts to use machine learning regression techniques such as Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Random Forest Regression (RFR) to forecast and predict worldwide international tourist arrivals and achieved forecasting accuracy using SVR is 99.4% and using RFR is 84.7%. The study also analyzed the forecasting deadlock condition after covid-19 in the sudden drop of international visitors due to lockdown enforcement by all countries.
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Copyright 2021 The author(s). This is an open access article licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, even commercially as long as the original work is properly cited. (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)