Modeling total distribution velocity

Date

2024

Authors

Hirche, M.
Volckner, F.
Trinh, G.
Gobl, S.

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Journal article

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Journal of Marketing Analytics, online, 2024; online(4):1-33

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Abstract

For retailers and suppliers, keeping track of distribution velocity, which refers to the market-share gains per additional point of distribution, is important to assess the performance of their products in a market. Common distribution-velocity models use distribution-breadth metrics. However, distribution-breadth metrics lack the variability needed to meaningfully differentiate competing brands. This article presents a new approach for modeling distribution-velocity using weighted total distribution, which combines distribution-breadth and distribution-depth. Using retail scanner data from the U.S. market covering a total of 1682 brands in 12,049 stores across five channel types, we propose total-distribution models that are easier to specify, better reveal the differences in distribution between brands, and thus improve competitive benchmarking. This novel modeling approach based on total distribution serves as a pivotal contribution by providing an effective analytical tool for competitive benchmarking in diverse market environments. It allows brands to increase their market-share by spending on a fair share of total distribution. These findings highlight the usefulness of a total-distribution metric as a measure of competitive distribution coverage to support product-portfolio and category-management decisions.

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Copyright 2024 The Author(s) Access Condition Notes: Accepted manuscript available after 1 July 2025

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