US partisan conflict, Sino-US political relation news, and oil market dynamics☆,☆☆
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(Published version)
Date
2025
Authors
Cai, Y.
Saadaoui, J.
Uddin, G.S.
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Journal article
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Energy Economics, 2025; 149(108820):1-17
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Abstract
This study analyzes the effects of US partisan conflict and US-China political relation news shocks on the oil market. A shock to partisan conflict leads to a drop in the political relations news index, a decrease in oil demand, and an increase in oil prices. When the political relations news index rises, it significantly reduces oil demand and prices, with only minor effects on oil supply. The study also finds that negative political news shocks have a more significant impact on the oil market compared to positive news shocks, leading to lower oil prices and demand. These findings suggest important policy considerations for managing the impacts of political news on the oil market.
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Data source: supplementary data, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108820
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Copyright 2025 The Authors. (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
Access Condition Notes: This is an open access article under the CC BY license