Task independence in stated preference studies : a test of order effect explanations

Date

2009

Authors

Day, B.
Bateman, I.
Carson, R.T.
Dupont, D.
Louviere, J.J.
Morimoto, S.
Scarpa, R.
Wang, P.

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Abstract

We present an experiment designed to investigate the presence and nature of ordering effects within repeated response stated preference studies. We formulate a general structural model of such effects and use this to isolate signature patterns for position-dependent effects (learning about preferences or institutions, and the impact of fatigue) and precedent-dependent effects (starting point effects, reference pricing and various forms of strategic behavior). This is tested within a large sample, full factorial study designed to mitigate against misspecification bias and design-induced error variance problems. Non-parametric and parametric analyses are applied, the latter adopting a novel data-driven approach to the detection of ordering patterns. While we find little evidence of position dependent effects, we do find evidence of a starting point effect and various types of strategic behavior including a reference price effect where respondents tend to reject alternatives that are priced higher than recently seen alternatives.

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