Myanmar faces permanent Balkanisation as the world tilts towards authoritarianism

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2025

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Simpson, A.

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East Asia Forum, 2025

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Adam Simpson

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More than four years after the 2021 coup, Myanmar remains fragmented. Anti-junta forces continue to hold territory in border regions, but frontlines have hardened and the prospect of overturning military rule appears remote. With the Trump administration disengaged and some regional powers moving towards acceptance of Min Aung Hliang’s regime, shifting global dynamics are entrenching the junta’s position.

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© 2025 EAF. This work is subject to the terms of Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International.

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