Spillover between investor sentiment and volatility: The role of social media

dc.contributor.authorYang, N.
dc.contributor.authorFernandez-Perez, A.
dc.contributor.authorIndriawan, I.
dc.date.issued2024
dc.description.abstractWe examine the spillover effects between social media sentiments and market-implied volatilities among stock, bond, foreign exchange, and commodity markets. We find that information mainly spillovers from volatility to sentiment indices, with the VIX being the most significant net transmitter. Within each asset class, there is a more pronounced spillover from volatility to sentiment compared to the reverse, implying that a significant portion of investor sentiment is volatility-driven. This relationship intensifies in turbulent economic periods, such as during the Global Financial Crisis, Brexit, the US-China trade war, and the COVID-19 pandemic. Our analysis also reveals that sentiment indices can transition from net receivers to net transmitters of shocks during turbulent periods. This can be explained by the echo chamber effect, where social media echo prevailing news signals, and some investors interpret repeated signals as genuinely new information.
dc.description.statementofresponsibilityNi Yang, Adrian Fernandez-Perez, Ivan Indriawan
dc.identifier.citationInternational Review of Financial Analysis, 2024; 96(Part A):103643-1-103643-22
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103643
dc.identifier.issn1057-5219
dc.identifier.issn1057-5219
dc.identifier.orcidIndriawan, I. [0000-0002-6558-5551]
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/2440/142940
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.rights© 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/bync-nd/4.0/).
dc.source.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103643
dc.subjectSocial media; Investor sentiment; Market volatility; Connectedness
dc.titleSpillover between investor sentiment and volatility: The role of social media
dc.typeJournal article
pubs.publication-statusPublished

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